3/28 MLB ⚾️ Pick #3:
Eduardo Rodriguez
#DBacks
o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
(DraftKings -111)
For my final pick today we're attacking the Diamondback pitchers again. We cashed Ryne Nelson's over on earned runs yesterday and we're betting on Eduardo Rodriguez to do the same today. where he struggled with a 5.02 ERA and a ballooned 1.54 WHIP, Rodriguez remains vulnerable to high-leverage innings, particularly against elite right-handed power.
His recent history at Dodger Stadium is particularly concerning; in his three most recent starts against Los Angeles, he has been tagged for a total of 17 earned runs, including an outing where he gave up six runs in less than three innings. The Dodgers' projected 2026 lineup, anchored by Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and Shohei Ohtani, led the league in OPS, ranked 2nd in slugging, and 3rd in wRC+ against left-handed pitching last year, making this a nightmare stylistic matchup for Rodriguez's current arsenal.
While his Spring Training metrics showed a slight uptick in fastball velocity, his hittability remains high, as evidenced by the .282 opponent batting average he carried through the second half of last season. The Diamondbacks' bullpen is also currently stretched thin, which may force manager Torey Lovullo to leave Rodriguez in the game longer than usual even if he begins to labor. I expect the Dodgers' relentless approach to force at least three earned runs against the veteran southpaw before his night is over.
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