Josh Bailey
Josh Bailey @joshuabailey_ ·
I've seen a bit of this kind of discussion over the last few days. It's true that the back of the evelope gets you to a larger number. e.g. quick arithmetic: Consumption 20.5m bpd -> extra cost $747bn Production 22.8m bpd -> extra revenue $834bn Net exports 2.3m bpd -> $83bn of new income from abroad The drag of course comes from the MPC wedge. Let's say consumers spend their marginal dollar (say 0.8), but oil producers/shareholders mostly don't (say 0.3). Consumer spending hit: -$598bn Producer spending boost: +$250bn Net drag: ~$348bn ≈ 1.2% of GDP
Brad Setser Brad Setser @Brad_Setser ·
Strongly believe that the model calibration here is off. With an increase in the oil price of $100 a barrel, the shift in income from US oil consumers to US oil producers is ~ 2.5% of GDP. Drag from reduced consumer spending imho is at 1 pp of GDP 1/2
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QUE THE SMOOTH OPERATOR
QUE THE SMOOTH OPERATOR @exile66923 ·
Even Smash was shocked wen he opened that evelope. Njani? This thing of returnees really ruined the whole season. Que you are Top 2 my boy. #BBMzansiS6
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James is dysphoric
James is dysphoric @BadgerStar3200 ·
I got pokemon mail.. it was jsut send in an evelope.. with somr paper aorund the cards.. am i too spoiled from kpop collecting? Where's the top loader?
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Ameena⁷⊙⊝⊜💜
Ameena⁷⊙⊝⊜💜 @ftroml_613 ·
I have bought kashmiri churiyaan and beautiful aesthetic evelope for giving eidi to my niece 🤗
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lealea11
lealea11 @LeanorePon34441 ·
i think envelope from menagement i posted it on evelope on her letter watever man i need job near by
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William
William @AmericaBluebird ·
Replying to @LoganDobson
@LoganDobson Ask a private company to pick up an evelope at your door and deliver to your mom across the country for $.78 Or to maintain every road between your and house and in case you want to drive an visit Or to staff a police or fire department just in case you need them Or …
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خلافتِ عمرانیہ
خلافتِ عمرانیہ @KhilafatImrania ·
Replying to @KhilafatImran
@KhilafatImran @RealWaqarMaliks @MashwaniAzhar @QasimKhanSuri @InsafPK @agentjay2009 @PTIofficial @40laraib @786_Allah_ @_IrfanSaleemPTI @AbdulKhalidPTI @AftabSayeeda75 @Noreen_KhanPK @soulful7867 @MayaJibran @Aspirations97 @Masood2148Ahmed Ya Allah, on this blessed night, I ask you khair and Fazl-e-Azeem for Imran Khan, for Pakistani Nation, for Muslim Ummah! O Allah evelope Imran Khan and his Nation in Your Absolute Divine Mercy and grant us victory over the non believing evil people Ameen
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