A máquina de guerra bateu no muro. A base jovem do GOP rachou e a pressão máxima agora é para Trump achar uma saída no Irã. Se a desescalada vier, o prêmio de risco geopolítico no petróleo vaporiza da noite para o dia. Fade the war trade. 🛢️�� #Macro #OOTjD

Key macro takeaway: • Oil rising • Yields pressured higher • Geopolitics unresolved • Equities fragile This is not a supportive backdrop for risk assets. #Crypto remains highly dependent on #macro here.

GOP rachado. Velha guarda quer sangue, base jovem rejeita guerra no Irã. Pressão brutal para Trump achar uma saída. Tradução: o prêmio de risco do Oriente Médio está por um fio. Se Trump pisar no freio, WTI sangra. Smart money já realizando lucros em Defense. 🛢️�� #Macro #OiXN

🇹🇭🛢️ Energy/Macro Radar: Thailand has secured assurances from Iran for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. A critical fundamental step in easing immediate crude oil supply concerns for the Southeast Asian hub. 🚢 #Macro Redpoint Partners

Big event ahead 👇 RBI likely to hold rates till 2027 despite global chaos Inflation stable… but oil shock = wildcard Policy may stay calm, markets may not #RBI #InterestRates #Macro #FIIs

INR at ~94/$ — worst fall in a decade 👀 Rising oil + FII outflows = double pressure Weak currency = inflation risk + margin pressure for Indian companies. This is bigger than just equity correction #Rupee #Macro #Investing #IndiaEconomy #FIIs

Gold isn’t rallying like a crisis asset. That’s the signal. War → Oil ↑ Oil → Inflation fear ↑ Inflation → Rates stay higher Rates ↑ + USD ↑ → Gold capped But risk is rising. So gold doesn’t fall either. This isn’t a trend. It’s a battlefield. #Gold #GoldPrice #Macro

🛢️📉 Macro/Supply Chain Radar: WSJ’s Greg Ip warns that the market may be underestimating the structural damage to Russian energy exports. Recent strikes by Ukraine have reportedly impacted approximately 40% of Russia’s oil supply chain. 📊 #Macro Redpoint Partners

Oil Just Chose Violence Strait of Hormuz drama + war headlines = oil ripping again inflation: back from the dead rate cuts: deleted from wishlist #Macro

🛢️ Macro/Energy Radar: Macquarie warns that if the Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz blockade extend into June, oil could spike to $200/bbl. The probability of this severe Q2 scenario is estimated at 40%. �� #Macro Redpoint Partners

🚨 Rate hike fears are back. Bonds sold off Friday, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.46% (highest since July). Surging oil prices and geopolitical tensions are fueling inflation concerns, leaving markets bracing for a hawkish Fed. 🦅📉 #Macro #Fed #Inflation #EconoZsj

30-40% of Gulf oil infrastructure destroyed. Iran now controls the Strait. Goldman says 10k US jobs gone per month. Oil has a single point of failure. Bitcoin doesn't. #Bitcoin #BTC #Macro france24.com/en/france-conf…

Market reflection ☕️ Geopolitical tremors stir oil and safe-haven bids. Carry-sensitive USDJPY stands at the front line. Japanese equities will show whether risk can outgrow caution. #markets #macro

@KobeissiLetter Drawdown ≠ long-term damage. An ~8.5% drop is sharper than the ~5–6% average, but markets often bottom in 3–4 weeks and recover in ~6–8 weeks. → In ~70–75% of cases, 12-month returns are positive unless a recession or oil shock follows. #RC #Macro

@HolySmokas Drawdown ≠ long-term damage. An ~8.5% drop is sharper than the ~5–6% average, but markets often bottom in 3–4 weeks and recover in ~6–8 weeks. → In ~70–75% of cases, 12-month returns are positive unless a recession or oil shock follows. #RC #Macro

Markets were pricing an 80% chance of rate cuts. Then one weekend erased it. Going into 2026, the trade was crowded and simple: Rate cuts = risk assets up. #Macro #InterestRates #Fed #Inflation #Oil #MarketRisk #CryptoMarkets #Bitcoin #FundedTrader #RiskManagement

If escalation continues: Oil ↑ → Inflation ↑ → Rate cuts delayed → Markets ↓ This is how macro destroys bullish sentiment. Stay alert. #Trading #Macro #IranWar @grok

honestly ukraine throwing a spanner into the trump oil plan is the biggest btc macro risk right now. when energy plumbing leaks, the whole system seizes up. 🛠️ we’re moving from the hype era to a hardware reality. �� #LagosBureau #MacrPr

Oil may spike in 2026—but that’s not a new bull market. In a debt-heavy, fragile system, high prices don’t fuel growth—they crush it. This looks more like a spike that kills demand than a cycle that sustains it. LINK👇artberman.com/blog/a-system-…w #Oil #EnergyCrisis #Macro #Geopolitic #OilMarkets

Yen hit 160. But oil moved first. Smith: Imports punish the yen. Keynes: Expectations outran policy. Machiavelli: Credibility must be defended. Zhuge Liang: Oil cornered policy and currency. #Macro #FX